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PGA TOUR Stat Leaders 2013

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Want to become a better golf bettor? Here are the stats you should be paying attention to

Collin Morikawa plays a shot on the 14th hole during the final round of the 2020 PGA Championship.

Sean M. Haffey

Despite the success of our expert panel of golf handicappers over the last year, we’d never tell you that predicting winners is easy. Truth is, picking which tour pro will be the one holding the trophy on Sunday is much tougher than, say, betting on a football game with only a few outcomes. To think you can consistently predict the winner of these tournaments is downright foolish.

The evolution of stats and data to better predict golf events has grown rapidly in a short amount of time. And that makes it easier than ever to make what a “sharp” bettor would call a “good bet.” The trick here is that with so many “new” stats at your fingertips, picking and choosing which ones to focus on can be a challenge. Plus, as Pat Mayo of “The Pat Mayo Experience” and Mayo Media Network says, you should try to use as many as you can.

“Isolating one stat doesn’t do anyone a service,” Mayo says. “The point is to get a full view so you can map out how a player scored like he did.”

RELATED: 15 signs you watch too much golf on TV

While Mayo is right, there are a handful of key stats that you should be focusing on when making your picks. In speaking to Mayo—and some of the most respected experts in the industry—plus listening to and reading all of the gambling content available to us, here are the smart stats you should be utilizing when you’re betting on golf.

Strokes gained/approach-the-green (SG/APP)

If you read our column, listen to any betting podcast ( “Be Right” preferably ) or spend any time scrolling through gambling Twitter, strokes gained/approach-the-green is the one stat that comes up most. By definition, SG/APP is: “the number of approach strokes a player takes from specific locations and distances as measured against a statistical baseline to determine the player’s strokes gained or lost on a hole.” In short, being at the top of SG/APP means you are an elite iron player.

“I’d say SG/approach holds the most value,” said Drew Mathews, who won the 2018 DraftKings Millionaire Maker Contest . “While it’s always nice to see stats like strokes gained/off-the-tee supplement the ‘why’ behind SG/APP numbers, it does tell me the most about where someone’s game is at leading into that week. Being able to see approach numbers is very valuable for a betting card.”

Last season on the PGA Tour, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa ranked first and second, respectively, in SG/APP . They combined for five wins, including a major, 17 top 10s and more than $12.5 million in earnings. It’s no wonder that Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst at numberFire, FanDuel’s analytics platform, starts his handicapping each week by looking at the SG/APP numbers.

“Over the 2018-’19 PGA Tour season, a golfer’s made-cut percentage correlated strongly with his strokes gained/approach number,” says Gdula, noting the actual correlation (or “r” for real stat geeks) was 0.59, followed distantly by strokes gained/around the green (0.44), off-the-tee (0.37) and putting (0.29). “What this tells us is that consistency stems largely from iron play, which makes sense, intuitively. Strokes gained/approach comes into play on virtually every hole, including tee shots on par 3s.”

Justin Thomas finished the 2019-'20 PGA Tour season first in strokes gained/approach-the-green.

Gdula goes further by noting that, according to datagolf.com , 34.7 percent of the scoring dispersion—how golfers separate from the field—on the average PGA Tour course historcially is explained by SG/APP. That’s greater than strokes gained/off-the-tee and strokes gained/around the green combined (29.5 percent). And while strokes gained/putting is a little higher than approach at 35.8 percent, putting is harder to predict each week than iron play is.

An easy way to view why that’s important, Gdula says, is to consider what the field leader in a PGA Tour event adds, on average, based on each category from 2020 PGA Tour events—SG/off-the-tee: +5.3 strokes; SG/APP: +8.1 strokes; SG/ around-the-green: +5.4 strokes; SG/putting: +8.4 strokes.

In other words, the best driver in a golf field adds an average of +5.3 strokes from the tee. But that is only 66 percent as many strokes as the best approach player nets in a week from his irons. If you’re aiming to add the most strokes on the field, the best way to do it tee-to-green is from approach play.

“Golfers still have to putt well to win and contend in a given week,” Gdula says, “but without good iron play, they’ll need to get extremely lucky to be in the mix.”

To find strokes gained/approach-the-green stats leaders, click here .

RELATED: How To Bet On Golf Legally

Strokes gained/ball-striking (SG/BS)

This metric, which Mayo says is his starting point each week when researching a tournament, is an unofficial PGA Tour stat that combines a players’ strokes gained/off-the-tee numbers and their strokes gained/approach numbers. Data scientist Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube channel, also swears by this statistic.

“This stat not only passes the eye-test, but it also gets the nod from the math,” Gehman says. “SG/APP, by itself, is the most important single stat. It’s the one stat that most strongly correlates with finishing position. Meaning that the best approach players in the world find themselves near the top of the leader board more often than the best putters in the world. … The next most correlated stat to success is strokes gained/off-the-tee. There’s a reason that Bryson DeChambeau chases distance with the driver. If you can hit the ball further and straighter than your peers, you are at a significant competitive advantage.”

Xander Schauffele was among the top 20 in strokes gained/ball-striking last season.

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

So, naturally, when you combine the two to get strokes gained/ball-striking that accounts for the majority of shots that a golfer takes in a single round and most accurately predicts success, Gehman says. He notes that it should be no surprise that the top 10 golfers in SG/BS since the start of 2020 have accounted for 13 wins in the 32 events played this calendar year, a 40.6 winning percentage.

To find strokes gained/ball-striking stats leaders, click here .

At the end of the 2019-’20 season, Collin Morikawa, Dustin Johnson, Scottie Scheffler, Harris English, Xander Schauffele, Webb Simpson and Jon Rahm were among those who finished inside the top 20 of the SG/BS stat. This group of ball-strikers is also very good in our next key statistical area.

RELATED: 9 golf trips we’re dreaming of taking this winter

Strokes gained/tee-to-green (SG/T2G)

Similar to ball-striking, SG/T2G gives you a better understanding of how good a player is throughout his bag, rather than just with the driver or just with the irons. By definition, SG/T2G is the “per round average of the number of strokes the player was better or worse than the field average on the same course and event minus the players strokes gained/putting value.” In layman’s terms, SG/T2G is an encapsulation of a player’s entire game, including his around-the-green play, but not his putting. While Gdula believes SG/APP is the most important stat to focus on, T2G is a close second. “If you can only pick one stat to rely on in a given week,” Gdula says, “it should really be strokes gained/tee-to-green.”

To find strokes gained/tee-to-green stats leaders, click here .

RELATED: Inside the life of a PGA Tour caddie

Jon Rahm isn't just long off the tee, but accurate as well, explaining his No. 2 ranking in Total Driving in the 2019-'20 season.

Jamie Squire

Total Driving

While driving distance is all the rage, it still helps to keep it in the fairway, even if DeChambeau proved at Winged Foot that fairways hit can be overrated. But on many PGA Tour courses, keeping it in the short stuff is still key. The “total driving” stat factors in a player’s driving distance and their driving accuracy, which is the percentage of time a player’s tee shot comes to rest in the fairway regardless of club. The players who rank high in total driving are ones you’ll often see at the top of the leader board, like Paul Casey (first in total driving in 2019-’20), Jon Rahm (second), Tommy Fleetwood (sixth), Scottie Scheffler (seventh) and Sungjae Im (10th).

To find total driving stats leaders, click here .

Opportunities Gained

Now we’re getting into the not-so-traditional stats, ones you’ll have to pay up to find. FantasyNational.com , datagolf.com and fansharesports.com are all excellent resources for gamblers, and that’s where you’ll find a lot of these deeper stats. One of them being Opportunities Gained, which keeps track of how many “scoring” opportunities—basically birdie opportunities—a player is gaining on the field. Fantasy National describes a scoring opportunity as a birdie opportunity inside of 15 feet on the green or the fringe, plus greens/fringe “under” regulation, which is an eagle opportunity. You’ll often see some of the better iron players in the world lead this stat, like Emiliano Grillo. Unfortunately, guys like Grillo or Kyle Stanley and other world-class approach players don’t always capitalize on these opportunities with the putter.

Birdie-or-Better Gained/Birdie or Better Percentage

The Birdies or Better percentage, which you can find on PGATour.com , is exactly what you think it is: the percent of time a birdie or better is recorded by the player. On FantasyNational.com, they go a step deeper: They keep track of the number of birdies or better a player has gained on the field. Both will give you an idea of who can really fill it up. Webb Simpson, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Tyrrell Hatton and Bryson DeChambeau were the top five players in this category last season. Sounds like a winning stat to us.

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2024 NBA Draft order: Complete list of picks as Atlanta Hawks win No. 1 selection in Lottery

The full draft order was unveiled on sunday afternoon in chicago.

The full 2024 NBA Draft order has been set. The Atlanta Hawks overcame long odds and won the draft's No. 1 pick on Sunday in the Draft Lottery . The Hawks, who finished a 36-46 record in the 2023-24 season, had just a 3% chance to win the top pick. The Washington Wizards will pick second, while the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs round out the top four. The Detroit Pistons, who had the NBA's worst record this season, slipped to No. 5 in the draft order.

The Hawks jumped out nine spots to win the first overall pick, and it's the first time they'll pick No. 1 since 1975. Only four lottery winners had worse chances than the Hawks in 2024: the 1993 Magic (1.5%), the 2014 Cavaliers (1.7%), the 2008 Bulls (1.7%) and the 2011 Cavaliers (2.8%).

While trades could certainly change things, picks No. 1-58 are now set for the 2024 NBA Draft. Here's a look at the first round as it stands:

2024 NBA Draft order: First round

The NBA Draft will be a two-night affair for the first time in 2024, with the second round coming on June 27. The second round of this year's draft features plenty of traded picks, with a large majority of the 28 picks having changed hands at least once before draft night.

There are also only 58 picks in this year's draft after both the 76ers and Suns had to forfeit second-round selections for free-agent tampering.

Second-round draft order

The 2024 NBA Draft is not particularly well-regarded in league circles. There is no obvious superstar or No. 1 pick in this class, but remember, similar classes in recent years have wound up producing stars regardless of expectations. The 2020 class was widely believed to be weak at the time. It has already given the NBA four All-Stars: Anthony Edwards , LaMelo Ball , Tyrese Haliburton and Tyrese Maxey . The 2013 NBA Draft faced similarly low expectations, but produced Giannis Antetokounmpo , Rudy Gobert , C.J. McCollum and Victor Oladipo .

Below are the top 10 prospects from the CBS Sports NBA prospect rankings . Three of the top five prospects in this year's class are international, while five of the top 10 played in U.S. colleges. The two remaining prospects in the top 10 come from G League Ignite, which just played its final season .

The lack of a typical top prospect in this class creates plenty of uncertainty, but also plenty of opportunity. Think about those other drafts we once considered bad. The Bucks landed Antetokounmpo outside of the lottery and he went on to lead them to a championship. Maxey wasn't even a top-20 pick, and he's saved the 76ers from a very bleak post-James Harden future. 

When nobody knows who the best prospect in a class is, it gives a much wider variety of teams chances to land impact players. There may not be a Victor Wembanyama-caliber prospect in the 2024 NBA Draft, but there will be a significant infusion of talent into the league in June.

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Myrtle Beach becomes certified autism-friendly travel destination through Champion Autism Network

Beyond the Ropes

Volunteers of Champions Autism Network. (Courtesy Champions Autism Network)

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The goal, Becky Large will happily tell you, is “world autism awareness domination.”

She started with Surfside Beach, South Carolina, in 2013 after relocating there from New Jersey. Large knocked on doors, met with business leaders and came up with innovative events to help families like hers impacted by autism feel supported.

The Champion Autism Network (CAN) was so successful that in 2016 Surfside Beach became its first certified autism-friendly travel destination. The City of Myrtle Beach, which the PGA TOUR visits this week, and Horry County followed two years later.

Now, vacation spots in Texas, Florida and Oregon are interested in making families impacted by autism -- some 80% of whom don’t travel due to the challenges -- feel more comfortable and welcome in the community. And CAN is even going international.

“I'm working with an organization in Nairobi, Kenya right now to develop our first autism awareness module in Swahili to educate the parents and teachers and political officials,” Large says.

The Champions Autism Network advocates for world autism awareness. (Courtesy Champions Autism Network)

This week’s Myrtle Beach Classic is one of the many local events and attractions supportive of CAN’s mission. Not only will the organization receive a much-needed grant from the event, the tournament is hosting a a sensory-friendly event at PopStroke, one of a chain of putting courses that is co-owned by Tiger Woods.

Four young adults with autism and two of their parents will be joined at the event on Wednesday by TOUR pros Wilson Furr, Lanto Griffin and Scott Gutschewski. Large is grateful for the increased visibility, as well as the grant, which she says gives her hope.

“It is just a tremendous shot in the arm, and not just financially, but to have the opportunity to get involved with the PGA (TOUR) and golf, which could be a wonderful sport for people with autism because team sports are difficult (for them),” she says. “This kind of thing, it could be good for so many people.”

Autism is a neurological developmental disorder that impacts social interaction, the ability to communicate and repetitive behaviors, according to the National Autism Association. It’s the fastest growing developmental disorder, affecting one in every 36 children, and disproportionately affects males, 4 to 1, over females. Approximately 40% of children with autism are non-verbal.

Lights and loud noises and big crowds can trigger meltdowns in people with autism. Large says some people might see someone having a tantrum and think they are a spoiled child when that person is simply trying to express frustration or displeasure.

“Actually, this is a family in crisis, and we need either love or people that protect us,” Large says. "As you learn more about autism and how it impacts the family unit, then the family doesn't want to leave the house because everybody's judging them.

“So, I try and curate environments so that there's less sensory stimulation for the person with autism, and the family can all come out and play, because if everybody stays home, that's not good for anyone. The siblings, oh my gosh, life for the siblings, especially the younger ones with people on the spectrum is really challenging and difficult.”

Becky Large (right) with Tom Stoltman, who is on the autism spectrum and won the World’s Strongest Man title in Myrtle Beach. (Courtesy Champions Autism Network)

CAN works with restaurants like Myrtle Beach stalwart Johnny D’s Waffles and Bakery to heighten awareness of autism. When there’s a wait, families with an autistic member can show their CAN Autism Travel Card and go to the head of the line. Their order is expedited, and the staff knows where to seat the family and how to treat them with respect. The chef has a son on the spectrum, and the menus feature information about autism.

Among the events CAN sponsors are its flagship monthly movies, as well as birthday bowling bashes. Large can’t remember exactly when she started the film nights, but she does know the first one only drew 12 people. Now between 100-200 attend the free event each month.

“It’s a great gateway activity because there’s not a lot of social interactions,” Large says. “So, the lights are up, the sound is down and the people are free to move around. So, it's not your traditional movie viewing experience, but our families love it. Everybody gets it. Your kid can scream, spin, yell, cry, whatever.”

Melissa Montgomery’s 23-year-old son, Colin, who is on the autism spectrum, was the official greeter at the movies when he was a kid – an activity that eventually turned into his first job. Over the years, the family has taken advantage of many CAN programs and affiliated businesses, like Ripley’s Aquarium of Myrtle Beach.

“They definitely know, and they're trained, and you just show them your CAN card,” Melissa says. “The aquarium is very peaceful for him. So, if we're having a day where I'm like, he might not be having his best day, we'll go and do that.”

Becky Large (right) started Champion Autism Network in Surfside Beach. (Courtesy Champion Autism Network)

Colin will be playing putt-putt at PopStroke with his dad, Scott. His twin brother, Conner, who is in law school in Kentucky, is coming home to watch the first PGA TOUR event ever held on the Grand Strand. He played golf in high school and their younger sister Kenley is currently doing the same. The family plans to head to the Dunes Club on Saturday, although Melissa isn’t sure how Colin will handle the crowd.

“That will be one where I’ll drive separate and we will probably leave,” she says.

Melissa says she looks for programs like CAN – which has a travel app -- when she and her husband plan family vacations. She tries to fly through airports with sensory-friendly areas or decompression rooms. And she’s always hoping to find the welcoming atmosphere provided by businesses and attractions that Large and CAN have helped to educate in Myrtle Beach.

“It's just been huge for our family,” Melissa says. “ I always know that Becky is fighting for people to understand our kids and to give them a safe place to go and just know that, okay, these people are not going to judge us.”